Flash
Boys is the latest from Michael Lewis; it's a pointedly
literary business book featuring arresting characters, punchy (though not
always credible) dialogue, and a comforting good versus evil story line. It’s
the kind of financial journalism that could trigger movie royalties. The Flash
Boys themselves don’t appear in the book. They are the shadowy ‘high frequency
traders’ (HFTs) found within dark pools and hedge funds. HFTs use computer power
and unfathomable speed to score the tiny transactional profits that form the
bases of great fortunes. And – in the view of Lewis’ characters – the Flash
Boys aren’t playing fairly.
High
frequency trading occurs so fast that ‘after’ becomes ‘before’ in a way that
seems to challenge our conventional sense of time. The Flash Boys appear able to mysteriously know what we intend to carry out in the market before we do it –
and it is almost so. In the simplest case described by Lewis, a conventional
purchaser of a large block of shares will see its order fragmented into small
transactions arrayed at various (usually escalating) prices. The lowest price
attracts the first execution. An offer is dangled by the high frequency
trader as bait – small quantities of shares (often the minimum 100 share order)
at alluring prices. As the trap snaps closed, that is, as the token trade is executed and reported, it signals to the high frequency
trader that an active buyer has likely entered the market. The high frequency
trader (which has just sold the unwitting purchaser a small quantity of shares)
then uses speed (built literally on proximity to stock exchange servers) to
outrun the execution of the greater bulk of the purchaser’s order –
buying up shares at available prices and then reselling these to the purchaser
at higher prices – all within a tiny fraction of a second. The unwitting market
participant betrays herself; revealing in one instant what will likely follow
in the next.
So this
is the market behavior Lewis has uncovered – he then proceeds to build story
around it. In the first story, a mysterious entrepreneur lays fiber cable in the
straightest possible line between the commodities markets in Chicago and the
trading desks (that is, computers) in New Jersey, resulted in the fastest possible electronic connection. The second – and main – story
involves a host of good-guy bankers attached to the New York outpost of the
Royal Bank of Canada. They are a motley crew of outsiders, including Brad
Katsuyama, the Japanese-Canadian (“of all things”) leader of the band, and Ronan Ryan, an
Irish (not Irish-American) techie turned trader, who uncover and counter the
traps laid by the Flash Boys. Their solution to HFT predation is in part technical
(they gain better pricing by slowing things down), but is largely premised on
creating a trading space called IEX with fairer rules.
And here
Lewis fails to inquire. For he assumes (along with his central characters) that
somehow the HFT players have been acting unfairly. Well perhaps they are, but
it isn’t morally obvious that they are. Recall that the HFTs effectively outrun
the large bidder, accumulating shares at favored offered prices and then
reselling them an instant later to the bidder at higher prices. Their speed in
outracing the bidder is due to a technological advantage – their physical
proximity to the servers that host the major securities markets. But as Lewis
shows, the HFTs pay for that proximity. Now physical proximity might seem a
rather arbitrary form of trading advantage, but it is hardly less so than many
other competitive advantages, some legal (smarter analysts?), some not
(inside information).
And
trading speed is an advantage that could be eliminated with a simple rule change.
Bids could be accumulated throughout a longer time horizon (say a full second), and
then matched according to the ladder of offer prices, with a lottery or auction
serving as a tie-breaker when needed. Lewis does make clear that the HFT
problem he explores is more an unintended result of a regulatory design (Reg
NMS, that is) than a nefarious use of technology. But if it is bad rulemaking that
enables the Flash Boys, then they can hardly be viewed as unfairly preying on investors.
The third
and saddest story involves a mystical Russian programmer, Sergey Aleynikov, who
is arrested and convicted at the behest of Goldman Sachs for taking proprietary
code. Aleynikov, Lewis notes, is one of the few actors in Wall Street
prosecuted in recent times; rather than stealing from investors, he was
imprisoned for stealing from Goldman Sachs. The story is disturbing from start
to finish. The FBI uncritically follows up on Goldman’s complaint to seize
Aleynikov; the federal prosecutors seem even less interested in investigated
exactly what it was the Aleynikov took. Judge and jury are mystified by the
technology – and Aleynikov resigns himself to his fate.
Lewis in
the end skewers Goldman Sachs for its inexplicable hostility to former employee
Aleynikov, yet praises Goldman for renouncing HFT tactics and supporting
Katsuyama’s IEX.
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